Expert Predictions
“The bomb will never go off. I speak as an expert in explosives.”
–Admiral William Leahy, U.S. Atomic Bomb Project
“There is no likelihood man can ever tap the power of the atom.”
–Robert Millikan, Nobel Prize in Physics, 1923
“Computers in the future may weigh no more than 1.5 tons.”
–Popular Mechanics magazine, forecasting the relentless march
of science, 1949
“I think there is a world market for maybe five computers.”
–Thomas Watson, chairman of IBM, 1943
“I have traveled the length and breadth of this country and talked with the
best people, and I can assure you that data processing is a fad that won’t
last out the year.” –The editor in charge of business books for
Prentice Hall, 1957
“Man will never reach the moon regardless of all future scientific advances.”
–Dr. Lee DeForest, “Father of Radio & Grandfather of Television”
“But what … is it good for?” –Engineer at the Advanced Computing
Systems Division of IBM, 1968, commenting on the microchip
“This ‘telephone’ has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered
as a means of communication. The device is inherently of no value to us.”
–Western Union internal memo, 1876
“The wireless music box has no imaginable commercial value. Who would
pay for a message sent to nobody in particular?” –David Sarnoff’s
associates in response to his urgings for investment in the radio in the 1920s
“The concept is interesting and well-formed, but in order to earn better than
a ‘C,’ the idea must be feasible.” –A Yale University management professor
in response to Fred Smith’s paper proposing reliable overnight delivery
service. (Smith went on to found FedEx, the Federal Express Corp.)
“I’m just glad it’ll be Clark Gable who’s falling on his face and not Gary Cooper.”
–Gary Cooper on his decision not to take the leading role in Gone With The Wind
“We don’t like their sound, and guitar music is on the way out.”
–Decca Recording Co., rejecting the Beatles, 1962
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